Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 73 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Valerias Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Diamond Girl         4    60.0    1    0.00     5.0   73    78           73    +0
2    Bonne Bouche         2    59.5    2    0.05     3.0   78    81           81    +3
3    Valerias Dream       3    59.0    3    1.25     4.5   77    77           77    +0
4    Palm Breeze          3    58.5    4    1.30     4.5   76    76           76    +0
5    Captain Ariano       4    58.0    5    3.70     5.0   69    74           74    +5
6    La Pura Vida         2    60.0    6    4.10     3.0   79    82           82    +3
7    Bright Star          2    58.0    7    5.70     3.0   75    78           78    +3
8    October Song         3    60.5    8    5.90     4.5   74    80           80    +6
9    Petit Verdot         2    55.0    9    6.30     3.0   74    72           72    -2
10   Angelic Fort         3    55.5    10   6.55     4.5   64    70           70    +6
11   Morgan La Fay        2    59.5    11   6.60     3.0   78    81           81    +3
12   Spirited Flight      5    58.5    12   10.50    0.0   76    85           85    +9
13   Victory Belle        3    55.5    13   10.90    4.5   64    70           70    +6
14   Rock N Roll Girl     2    54.5    14   15.00    3.0   76    71           71    -5
99   Aspoestertjie        5    56.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     81           81    +0
99   Conchita             4    54.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     67           67    +0
99   Noble Storm          3    57.5    99   0.00     4.5   -     74           74    +0
99   Kitten's Adventure   3    55.0    99   0.00     4.5   -     69           69    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Diamond Girl 73 74 73 +1 5.0 -
2 Bonne Bouche 78 67 81 -14 3.0 -
3 Valerias Dream Line 77 77 77 ✓ Match 4.5
4 Palm Breeze 76 66 76 -10 4.5 -
5 Captain Ariano 69 63 74 -11 5.0 -
6 La Pura Vida 79 77 82 -5 3.0 -
7 Bright Star 75 69 78 -9 3.0 -
8 October Song 74 64 80 -16 4.5 -
9 Petit Verdot 74 75 72 +3 3.0 -
10 Angelic Fort 64 50 70 -20 4.5 -
11 Morgan La Fay 78 98 81 +17 3.0 -
12 Spirited Flight 76 61 85 -24 0.0 -
13 Victory Belle 64 60 70 -10 4.5 -
14 Rock N Roll Girl 76 76 71 +5 3.0 -
99 Aspoestertjie - 68 81 -13 0.0 -
99 Conchita - 56 67 -11 5.0 -
99 Noble Storm - 78 74 +4 4.5 -
99 Kitten's Adventure - 58 69 -11 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points