Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BOOK A TABLE FOR CLASSIC DAY 4 MARCH CALL 0116811796 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Jet Dynasty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Global Impact 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 8 6 +6 2 Jet Dynasty 3 60.0 2 4.40 4.0 - - - +0 3 Stepping Out 2 60.0 3 6.00 0.0 75 8 65 -10 4 Le Fort Bion 4 60.0 4 7.30 2.0 - 4 4 +4 5 Incredible India 3 60.0 5 9.60 4.0 - - - +0 6 Carnelo 6 60.0 6 10.00 0.0 61 8 51 -10 7 San Marzano 3 60.0 7 17.75 4.0 - - - +0 8 Fantastic Impact (A 4 60.0 8 99.99 2.0 47 4 37 -10 99 Hazlo Grande 3 60.0 99 0.00 4.0 - - - +0 99 Circus Lights 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 8 8 +0 99 Moon Valley 4 58.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 1 1 +0 99 Storm Dominator 3 54.5 99 0.00 4.0 - -11 -11 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Impact | - | 74 | 6 | +68 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jet Dynasty Line | - | 82 | - | +82 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Stepping Out | 75 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Le Fort Bion | - | 48 | 4 | +44 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Incredible India | - | 64 | - | +64 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Carnelo | 61 | 75 | 51 | +24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | San Marzano | - | 53 | - | +53 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fantastic Impact (AUS) | 47 | 47 | 37 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hazlo Grande | - | 74 | - | - | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Circus Lights | - | 64 | 8 | +56 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Moon Valley | - | 48 | 1 | +47 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Storm Dominator | - | 66 | -11 | +77 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points