Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Tsar Bomba
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Texas Red 5 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 90 99 90 +0 2 Dancetildaylight 3 59.5 2 0.50 4.5 95 101 101 +6 3 Tsar Bomba 3 56.5 3 1.30 4.5 95 95 95 +0 4 Set To Go 2 53.0 4 1.40 3.0 88 91 91 +3 5 Mardi Gras 7 60.5 5 2.65 0.0 102 112 112 +10 6 Frontline Fighter 3 53.0 6 4.90 4.5 82 88 88 +6 7 Bold Act 3 61.0 7 6.50 4.5 98 104 104 +6 8 Jp Two Thousand 3 51.5 8 8.50 4.5 84 85 85 +1 9 Godswood 4 63.5 9 13.00 5.0 103 108 108 +5 99 Twin Strike 2 55.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas Red | 90 | 119 | 90 | +29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dancetildaylight | 95 | 92 | 101 | -9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Tsar Bomba Line | 95 | 91 | 95 | -4 | 4.5 | ||
| 4 | Set To Go | 88 | 84 | 91 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mardi Gras | 102 | 83 | 112 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Frontline Fighter | 82 | 82 | 88 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bold Act | 98 | 77 | 104 | -27 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Jp Two Thousand | 84 | 61 | 85 | -24 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Godswood | 103 | 106 | 108 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Twin Strike | - | 90 | 96 | -6 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points