Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: GOALS & GALLOPS MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Safe Return
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Irish Morning 5 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 99 115 99 +0 2 Resonate 3 58.5 2 0.25 5.0 100 99 99 -1 3 Safe Return 3 59.5 3 0.75 5.0 101 101 101 +0 4 Fifty Fiver 3 59.0 4 1.75 5.0 101 100 100 -1 5 Skidoo 6 57.5 5 3.25 0.0 91 107 107 +16 6 Fort Agopian 5 54.5 6 4.75 0.0 85 101 101 +16 7 Moon Rock 7 54.0 7 4.95 0.0 84 100 100 +16 8 His Choice 4 59.5 8 9.70 6.0 95 99 99 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irish Morning | 99 | 100 | 99 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Resonate | 100 | 103 | 99 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Safe Return Line | 101 | 83 | 101 | -18 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Fifty Fiver | 101 | 76 | 100 | -24 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Skidoo | 91 | 73 | 107 | -34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fort Agopian | 85 | 84 | 101 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Moon Rock | 84 | 69 | 100 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | His Choice | 95 | 81 | 99 | -18 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points