Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT MEETING 23 JANUARY - KENILWORTH MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Captain Mike
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Future Prince 3 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 85 85 85 +0 2 Transact 3 59.0 2 0.25 5.0 85 85 85 +0 3 Captain Mike 3 55.5 3 3.50 5.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Storm Dictator 3 54.5 4 3.70 5.0 76 76 76 +0 5 Night Song 5 60.5 5 5.20 0.0 81 98 98 +17 6 Ovation 3 53.5 6 5.40 5.0 74 74 74 +0 7 Double Charge 5 60.0 7 5.50 0.0 80 97 97 +17 8 Back To You 3 56.5 8 5.70 5.0 80 80 80 +0 9 Admiralty Arch 3 58.5 9 6.45 5.0 84 84 84 +0 10 Sugar Mountain 3 56.0 10 7.95 5.0 79 79 79 +0 11 Gentleman 3 53.5 11 8.00 5.0 74 74 74 +0 12 Bramhall Phoenix 3 54.5 12 9.25 5.0 76 76 76 +0 13 Debonair 3 59.5 13 10.25 5.0 86 86 86 +0 14 Rex Union 4 59.5 14 11.50 6.0 79 84 84 +5 15 On The Road Again 3 59.0 15 18.75 5.0 85 85 85 +0 16 Wordsworth 7 55.5 16 25.00 0.0 71 88 88 +17 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Future Prince | 85 | 93 | 85 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Transact | 85 | 77 | 85 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Captain Mike Line | 78 | 39 | 78 | -39 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Storm Dictator | 76 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Night Song | 81 | 73 | 98 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ovation | 74 | 65 | 74 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Double Charge | 80 | 80 | 97 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Back To You | 80 | 70 | 80 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Admiralty Arch | 84 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sugar Mountain | 79 | 122 | 79 | +43 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Gentleman | 74 | 46 | 74 | -28 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Bramhall Phoenix | 76 | 78 | 76 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Debonair | 86 | 73 | 86 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Rex Union | 79 | 97 | 84 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 15 | On The Road Again | 85 | 79 | 85 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 16 | Wordsworth | 71 | 65 | 88 | -23 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points