Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: MOBILE BETTING VISIT www.trackandball.co.za FM 71 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Mel's Princess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sea Goddess 3 54.0 1 0.00 5.0 69 59 69 +0 2 Leopard Lady 4 52.5 2 0.90 2.5 56 65 65 +9 3 Mel's Princess 3 58.5 3 1.90 5.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Blazing Astute 3 60.0 4 3.20 5.0 71 73 73 +2 5 Sea Eagle 3 61.0 5 3.40 5.0 73 74 74 +1 6 Escapologist 5 56.0 6 4.20 0.0 73 74 74 +1 7 Luck Of The Iris 4 52.0 7 9.00 2.5 55 60 60 +5 8 Two Minds 3 53.0 8 9.40 5.0 67 57 57 -10 9 Whispering Green 4 50.0 9 11.30 2.5 55 56 56 +1 10 Sing For Winter 2 60.0 10 11.70 0.0 81 81 81 +0 11 Rise 5 59.0 11 13.90 0.0 69 79 79 +10 99 Lucia Poppova 3 53.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sea Goddess | 69 | 80 | 69 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Leopard Lady | 56 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mel's Princess Line | 71 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Blazing Astute | 71 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sea Eagle | 73 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Escapologist | 73 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Luck Of The Iris | 55 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Two Minds | 67 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Whispering Green | 55 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Sing For Winter | 81 | 72 | 81 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Rise | 69 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lucia Poppova | - | 62 | 58 | +4 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points