Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 71 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Royal Oasis
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Harley's Fate        2    56.0    1    0.00     3.0   68    69           68    +0
2    Aspoestertjie        5    57.5    2    1.90     0.0   72    78           78    +6
3    Royal Oasis          3    55.0    3    5.20     4.5   64    64           64    +0
4    Shipholia            5    59.0    4    5.90     0.0   75    81           81    +6
5    HereInAfter          4    61.0    5    6.50     5.0   73    75           75    +2
6    Troubadix            3    50.0    6    6.90     4.5   54    54           54    +0
7    Meredith Grey        2    54.5    7    7.00     3.0   66    66           66    +0
8    Candy For My Mommy   3    56.0    8    8.40     4.5   63    66           66    +3
9    Conchita             4    55.5    9    9.30     5.0   62    64           64    +2
10   Poppy Of Bayeux      3    58.0    10   12.60    4.5   67    70           70    +3
11   Princess Santo       4    52.5    11   12.90    5.0   56    58           58    +2
12   Run Again            3    52.0    12   24.40    4.5   55    58           58    +3
99   Morgan La Fay        2    60.5    99   0.00     3.0   -     78           78    +0
99   Sting Ray            3    61.5    99   0.00     4.5   -     77           77    +0
99   Flying The Star      4    54.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     61           61    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Harley's Fate 68 67 68 -1 3.0 -
2 Aspoestertjie 72 68 78 -10 0.0 -
3 Royal Oasis Line 64 61 64 -3 4.5
4 Shipholia 75 104 81 +23 0.0 -
5 HereInAfter 73 72 75 -3 5.0 -
6 Troubadix 54 49 54 -5 4.5 -
7 Meredith Grey 66 68 66 +2 3.0 -
8 Candy For My Mommy 63 52 66 -14 4.5 -
9 Conchita 62 56 64 -8 5.0 -
10 Poppy Of Bayeux 67 57 70 -13 4.5 -
11 Princess Santo 56 50 58 -8 5.0 -
12 Run Again 55 48 58 -10 4.5 -
99 Morgan La Fay - 98 78 +20 3.0 -
99 Sting Ray - 73 77 -4 4.5 -
99 Flying The Star - 67 61 +6 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points