Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Winter Waves
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Son Of Silk 4 56.5 1 0.00 2.0 69 60 69 +0 2 Winter Waves 7 59.0 2 0.40 0.0 74 74 74 +0 3 Gentleman's Way 6 59.0 3 0.65 0.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Wave Warrior 3 59.5 4 1.35 3.0 75 67 67 -8 5 Zooberi 2 57.5 5 2.45 0.0 78 68 68 -10 6 Lake Como 3 53.0 6 3.15 3.0 62 53 53 -9 7 Master Of Law 3 59.0 7 4.45 3.0 77 63 67 -10 8 Big Slick 2 58.5 8 5.65 0.0 80 68 70 -10 9 Final Destiny 4 50.0 9 6.65 2.0 53 47 47 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Son Of Silk | 69 | 65 | 69 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winter Waves Line | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Gentleman's Way | 74 | 73 | 74 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Wave Warrior | 75 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Zooberi | 78 | 78 | 68 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lake Como | 62 | 61 | 53 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Master Of Law | 77 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Big Slick | 80 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Final Destiny | 53 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points