Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CAPE C STAKES (F & M) (For F & M 3-years & older with a nett rating of 74 & below)
Line Horse
Copper View
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Touch Of Grace 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 70 73 73 +3 2 Camille Claudel 2 58.5 2 1.25 2.5 73 72 72 -1 3 Where's The Party 5 60.0 3 1.45 0.0 76 80 80 +4 4 Hierkommiebokkie 5 61.5 4 2.20 0.0 79 83 83 +4 5 Copper View 2 61.5 5 2.95 2.5 78 78 78 +0 6 Air Of Royalty 3 55.5 6 4.20 3.5 60 64 64 +4 7 By Royal Command 3 55.5 7 4.95 3.5 62 64 64 +2 8 Porque Te Vas 5 60.0 8 5.05 0.0 75 80 80 +5 9 I'll Slip Away 2 55.5 9 5.55 2.5 65 66 66 +1 10 Fearless Trip 3 60.0 10 5.75 3.5 71 73 73 +2 11 Ella's Delight 2 61.5 11 5.80 2.5 77 78 78 +1 12 Rafeef's Choice 5 61.5 12 8.55 0.0 79 83 83 +4 13 Louis' Diamond 3 61.5 13 8.95 3.5 73 76 76 +3 99 Double Dream 3 58.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Touch Of Grace | 70 | 76 | 73 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Camille Claudel | 73 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Where's The Party | 76 | 85 | 80 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Hierkommiebokkie | 79 | 90 | 83 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Copper View Line | 78 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 2.5 | ||
| 6 | Air Of Royalty | 60 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | By Royal Command | 62 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Porque Te Vas | 75 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | I'll Slip Away | 65 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Fearless Trip | 71 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Ella's Delight | 77 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Rafeef's Choice | 79 | 71 | 83 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Louis' Diamond | 73 | 58 | 76 | -18 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Double Dream | - | 71 | 70 | +1 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points