Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BETONTAB.CO.ZA MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Eagle Alley
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Robert Burns 3 58.5 1 0.00 3.0 69 69 69 +0 2 Run For Cover 5 60.0 2 1.50 0.0 78 81 81 +3 3 Eagle Alley 4 52.0 3 2.75 1.5 61 61 61 +0 4 Irontail 4 60.0 4 5.00 1.5 72 75 75 +3 5 Sage King 3 60.0 5 5.25 3.0 72 72 72 +0 6 Maboneng 3 50.5 6 6.45 3.0 56 53 53 -3 7 Never To Clever 4 57.5 7 8.65 1.5 67 70 70 +3 8 Tillieangus 5 59.0 8 8.75 0.0 70 76 76 +6 9 Magic Flower 2 52.0 9 11.00 0.0 67 62 62 -5 10 Coming In Hot 3 58.5 10 11.20 3.0 69 69 69 +0 11 Follow My Path 5 55.0 11 12.00 0.0 62 68 68 +6 99 Say Yes 2 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Burns | 69 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Run For Cover | 78 | 70 | 81 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Eagle Alley Line | 61 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Irontail | 72 | 64 | 75 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Sage King | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Maboneng | 56 | 67 | 53 | +14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Never To Clever | 67 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Tillieangus | 70 | 65 | 76 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Magic Flower | 67 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Coming In Hot | 69 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Follow My Path | 62 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Say Yes | - | 90 | 79 | +11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points