Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 4 MARCH MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race

Line Horse

Stormy Seas

Reference for assessment

Exact Matches

1 / 16

Calculated = Official

Close Matches

4 / 16

Within 2 points

Significant Diffs

8 / 16

More than 5 points

Detailed Assessment

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Laetitia's Angel     4    58.0    1    0.00     4.0   68    68           68    +0
2    Var Park             5    59.0    2    1.10     0.0   75    78           78    +3
3    Dark Tide            5    53.0    3    1.35     0.0   58    66           66    +8
4    Stormy Seas          4    62.0    4    1.65     4.0   76    76           76    +0
5    Rio's Kiss           3    52.0    5    1.70     3.5   54    57           57    +3
6    Timbavati River      3    55.5    6    3.30     3.5   63    64           64    +1
7    Blindedbythelights   2    58.5    7    3.55     2.5   79    72           72    -7
8    There She Goes       6    59.5    8    3.75     0.0   74    79           79    +5
9    Clean Living         2    54.5    9    4.25     2.5   71    64           64    -7
10   Lizado               3    52.0    10   5.65     3.5   52    57           57    +5
11   A Time To Flower     2    60.0    11   5.70     2.5   77    75           75    -2
99   Hearts Thunder       4    57.0    99   0.00     4.0   -     66           66    +0
99   Grecia               3    52.0    99   0.00     3.5   -     57           57    +0
99   Earl of Cardigan     3    52.0    99   0.00     3.5   -     57           57    +0
99   Here Is The Tiger    3    57.5    99   0.00     3.5   -     68           68    +0
99   South Boy (ARG)      4    60.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     73           73    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos	Horse	Pre-Rating	Official New	Calculated	Discrepancy	WFA (kg)	Line Horse
1	Laetitia's Angel	68	77	68	+9	4.0	-
2	Var Park	75	87	78	+9	0.0	-
3	Dark Tide	58	53	66	-13	0.0	-
4	Stormy Seas Line	76	77	76	+1	4.0
5	Rio's Kiss	54	52	57	-5	3.5	-
6	Timbavati River	63	79	64	+15	3.5	-
7	Blindedbythelights	79	51	72	-21	2.5	-
8	There She Goes	74	77	79	-2	0.0	-
9	Clean Living	71	61	64	-3	2.5	-
10	Lizado	52	42	57	-15	3.5	-
11	A Time To Flower	77	52	75	-23	2.5	-
99	Hearts Thunder	-	66	66	✓ Match	4.0	-
99	Grecia	-	53	57	-4	3.5	-
99	Earl of Cardigan	-	50	57	-7	3.5	-
99	Here Is The Tiger	-	72	68	+4	3.5	-
99	South Boy (ARG)	-	71	73	-2	4.0	-

Assessment Methodology

Calculation Steps:

Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA
Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)

Key Formulas:

Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points