Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACING240 FOR RACING. FOR YOU MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Modern Magician
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bethel 6 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 67 74 67 +0 2 Arverni Warrior 3 59.0 2 0.05 3.5 66 66 66 +0 3 Picture The Moment 4 54.5 3 0.15 4.0 57 56 56 -1 4 Granddaddy Purple 3 54.0 4 1.15 3.5 56 56 56 +0 5 Modern Magician 3 61.0 5 1.20 3.5 70 70 70 +0 6 Mr Bodacious 2 58.5 6 1.95 2.5 70 67 67 -3 7 South East 4 55.5 7 3.20 4.0 59 58 58 -1 8 Knave Of Diamonds 3 55.0 8 4.70 3.5 58 58 58 +0 9 High Legislation 3 57.5 9 4.95 3.5 63 63 63 +0 10 Absolu Noir 8 56.5 10 5.20 0.0 64 68 68 +4 11 Emerald Flame 5 54.5 11 15.45 0.0 57 64 64 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethel | 67 | 76 | 67 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Arverni Warrior | 66 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Picture The Moment | 57 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Granddaddy Purple | 56 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Modern Magician Line | 70 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 3.5 | ||
| 6 | Mr Bodacious | 70 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | South East | 59 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Knave Of Diamonds | 58 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | High Legislation | 63 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Absolu Noir | 64 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Emerald Flame | 57 | 35 | 64 | -29 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points