Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 10 MARCH CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Travel Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flinders Range 3 56.5 1 0.00 2.5 64 62 62 -2 2 Gunsmoke 3 54.0 2 0.75 2.5 58 61 61 +3 3 Equestrian Affair 2 58.0 3 2.00 0.0 72 73 73 +1 4 State Of Mind 4 52.5 4 4.25 1.5 59 57 57 -2 5 Travel Master 4 58.0 5 4.30 1.5 67 67 67 +0 6 Captain Morne 3 51.5 6 5.05 2.5 58 52 52 -6 7 Meeneera 4 54.0 7 6.55 1.5 60 59 59 -1 8 Ivalo's Prince 5 60.0 8 7.30 0.0 69 74 74 +5 9 Admirals Chance 5 60.0 9 9.55 0.0 74 74 74 +0 10 Royal Shindig 4 58.0 10 13.30 1.5 65 67 67 +2 11 One Shot Wonder 3 52.0 11 16.55 2.5 54 53 53 -1 12 Fortune Of Gold 2 58.0 12 19.05 0.0 71 70 70 -1 99 Gentleman 3 52.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 53 53 +0 99 Coffee Break 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flinders Range | 64 | 71 | 62 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Gunsmoke | 58 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Equestrian Affair | 72 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | State Of Mind | 59 | 65 | 57 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Travel Master Line | 67 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 1.5 | ||
| 6 | Captain Morne | 58 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Meeneera | 60 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ivalo's Prince | 69 | 62 | 74 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Admirals Chance | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Royal Shindig | 65 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | One Shot Wonder | 54 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Fortune Of Gold | 71 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gentleman | - | 46 | 53 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Coffee Break | - | 65 | 69 | -4 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points