Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: ORCHID ISLAND MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Mdn F&M. R40k Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Poursomesugaronme
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rockingthetimeaway 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 62 71 68 +6 2 Poursomesugaronme 5 60.0 2 0.10 0.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Avoontoast 5 60.0 3 0.35 0.0 - 78 78 +78 4 Law Of Success 3 58.5 4 2.90 3.5 - 68 68 +68 5 Happy Vibes 3 60.0 5 3.00 3.5 68 71 71 +3 6 Flying Broomstick 3 60.0 6 3.75 3.5 - 71 71 +71 7 Together Again 5 60.0 7 6.00 0.0 48 78 78 +30 8 Freedom Square 3 57.5 8 6.75 3.5 - 66 66 +66 9 Queen's Navy 3 60.0 9 8.00 3.5 52 71 71 +19 10 Rio Supremo 3 58.5 10 9.00 3.5 61 68 68 +7 11 Flight De Grace 5 60.0 11 19.00 0.0 - 78 78 +78 12 Leahlicious 3 60.0 12 20.75 3.5 - 71 71 +71 99 Look To The Stars 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockingthetimeaway | 62 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Poursomesugaronme Line | 78 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Avoontoast | - | 86 | 78 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Law Of Success | - | 81 | 68 | +13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Happy Vibes | 68 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Flying Broomstick | - | 52 | 71 | -19 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Together Again | 48 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Freedom Square | - | 63 | 66 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Queen's Navy | 52 | 50 | 71 | -21 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Rio Supremo | 61 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Flight De Grace | - | 45 | 78 | -33 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Leahlicious | - | 42 | 71 | -29 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Look To The Stars | - | 58 | 71 | -13 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points