Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WORLD SPORTS BETTING HAWAII STAKES (Grade 2) (Open)
Line Horse
Red Saxon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Under Your Spell 3 56.5 1 0.00 2.5 114 106 106 -8 2 Red Saxon 3 60.0 2 1.50 2.5 116 116 116 +0 3 Humdinger 3 56.5 3 2.25 2.5 103 109 109 +6 4 Forever Mine 4 58.0 4 2.75 1.5 107 113 113 +6 5 William Robertson 6 59.0 5 3.00 0.0 125 118 118 -7 6 Team Gold 3 58.0 6 3.50 2.5 102 110 110 +8 7 Bingwa 7 59.0 7 5.00 0.0 123 116 116 -7 8 Irish Tractor 4 58.0 8 5.70 1.5 102 111 111 +9 9 Mk's Pride 4 60.0 9 5.75 1.5 122 115 115 -7 10 Captain Peg 5 52.5 10 6.50 0.0 106 103 103 -3 11 Unzen 3 55.0 11 10.00 2.5 108 103 103 -5 12 Puerto Manzano (ARG 4 60.0 12 12.50 1.5 123 115 115 -8 13 Sound Of Warning 3 55.5 13 12.75 2.5 110 104 104 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Under Your Spell | 114 | 113 | 106 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Red Saxon Line | 116 | 116 | 116 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Humdinger | 103 | 119 | 109 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Forever Mine | 107 | 105 | 113 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | William Robertson | 125 | 124 | 118 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Team Gold | 102 | 97 | 110 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bingwa | 123 | 107 | 116 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Irish Tractor | 102 | 102 | 111 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mk's Pride | 122 | 116 | 115 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Captain Peg | 106 | 100 | 103 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Unzen | 108 | 116 | 103 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Puerto Manzano (ARG) | 123 | 119 | 115 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Sound Of Warning | 110 | 110 | 104 | +6 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points