Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: ALBORAN SEA MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pinch Hit
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Back In Business 3 59.5 1 0.00 3.5 80 78 80 +0 2 Twice As Wild 6 52.0 2 1.50 0.0 50 70 70 +20 3 Power Ranger 7 52.0 3 2.25 0.0 57 70 70 +13 4 Pinch Hit 2 60.5 4 2.75 2.5 82 82 82 +0 5 Smith And Wesson 2 59.5 5 4.50 2.5 79 80 80 +1 6 Angel Of War 3 57.5 6 4.75 3.5 74 74 74 +0 7 Mescal 2 53.0 7 5.25 2.5 67 67 67 +0 8 Tiz Magic 2 57.0 8 5.50 2.5 75 75 75 +0 9 Vava Vegas 5 57.0 9 6.00 0.0 75 80 80 +5 10 Mandalay 3 52.0 10 6.75 3.5 63 63 63 +0 11 Giancarlo 2 49.5 11 8.00 2.5 48 60 60 +12 12 Fur Baby 2 59.0 12 8.45 2.5 79 79 79 +0 13 Spielberg 3 60.5 13 8.50 3.5 77 80 80 +3 14 Cool Winter 2 60.0 14 8.75 2.5 81 81 81 +0 15 After Hours 7 52.5 15 8.80 0.0 61 71 71 +10 16 In The Ether 6 54.5 16 16.75 0.0 65 75 75 +10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Back In Business | 80 | 114 | 80 | +34 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Twice As Wild | 50 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Power Ranger | 57 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Pinch Hit Line | 82 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 2.5 | ||
| 5 | Smith And Wesson | 79 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Angel Of War | 74 | 83 | 74 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mescal | 67 | 64 | 67 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Tiz Magic | 75 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Vava Vegas | 75 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mandalay | 63 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Giancarlo | 48 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Fur Baby | 79 | 64 | 79 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Spielberg | 77 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Cool Winter | 81 | 78 | 81 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 15 | After Hours | 61 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | In The Ether | 65 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points