Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: DURBANVILLE CUP (Listed) (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Silver Host
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Thefutureisbright 3 53.0 1 0.00 5.0 95 81 81 -14 2 Master Redoute 3 54.5 2 0.40 5.0 99 90 90 -9 3 Flower Of Saigon 4 50.0 3 1.65 2.0 93 86 86 -7 4 Silver Host 6 62.0 4 1.75 0.0 113 113 113 +0 5 Han Solo 5 57.5 5 1.95 0.0 104 104 104 +0 6 Arctic Drift 5 54.5 6 2.25 0.0 97 98 98 +1 7 Senso Unico 3 60.5 7 2.30 5.0 111 100 101 -10 8 Rex Union 4 54.5 8 2.60 2.0 99 94 94 -5 9 Super Silvano 5 59.0 9 4.35 0.0 106 104 104 -2 10 Chewbaca 5 51.5 10 6.60 0.0 92 88 88 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thefutureisbright | 95 | 94 | 81 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Master Redoute | 99 | 113 | 90 | +23 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Flower Of Saigon | 93 | 102 | 86 | +16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Silver Host Line | 113 | 111 | 113 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Han Solo | 104 | 102 | 104 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Arctic Drift | 97 | 97 | 98 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Senso Unico | 111 | 112 | 101 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rex Union | 99 | 97 | 94 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Super Silvano | 106 | 103 | 104 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Chewbaca | 92 | 87 | 88 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points