Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 64 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Agressivo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Immeasurable         5    60.5    1    0.00     0.0   68    74           68    +0
2    Hatta                4    57.0    2    0.90     1.5   61    68           68    +7
3    Agressivo            3    59.0    3    2.50     2.5   68    68           68    +0
4    Word For Word        3    59.5    4    2.80     2.5   63    69           69    +6
5    Barbatti             3    55.5    5    3.60     2.5   60    60           60    +0
6    Vengeance Forever    3    60.0    6    4.90     2.5   64    68           68    +4
7    Miss Lialah          4    56.0    7    6.30     1.5   56    62           62    +6
8    Whispering Green     4    54.0    8    7.80     1.5   52    58           58    +6
9    Capetown Affair      5    58.5    9    8.70     0.0   61    70           70    +9
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Immeasurable 68 72 68 +4 0.0 -
2 Hatta 61 59 68 -9 1.5 -
3 Agressivo Line 68 67 68 -1 2.5
4 Word For Word 63 62 69 -7 2.5 -
5 Barbatti 60 47 60 -13 2.5 -
6 Vengeance Forever 64 51 68 -17 2.5 -
7 Miss Lialah 56 65 62 +3 1.5 -
8 Whispering Green 52 49 58 -9 1.5 -
9 Capetown Affair 61 59 70 -11 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points