Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 17 MARCH MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Coastal Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Son Of Zeus 3 59.0 1 0.00 3.5 70 68 70 +0 2 Kuznetsov 2 59.0 2 1.25 2.5 74 70 70 -4 3 Sanctity 4 54.5 3 1.50 4.0 61 58 58 -3 4 Coastal Path 5 59.0 4 2.50 0.0 75 75 75 +0 5 Jaquar Cat 3 52.0 5 4.00 3.5 56 54 54 -2 6 Globetonic 6 59.0 6 4.05 0.0 70 75 75 +5 7 Path Of Choice 5 59.0 7 4.10 0.0 70 75 75 +5 8 Cruzador 6 59.5 8 4.20 0.0 71 76 76 +5 9 Lang's Power 2 55.5 9 5.45 2.5 67 63 63 -4 10 Storm Chaser 4 61.0 10 6.70 4.0 74 71 71 -3 11 Jean Paul 3 55.0 11 6.95 3.5 62 60 60 -2 12 Joyous Jubilee (AUS 2 56.5 12 8.20 2.5 70 65 65 -5 13 Central City 5 62.0 13 8.30 0.0 81 81 81 +0 14 Drop Of Time 2 58.0 14 9.55 2.5 73 68 68 -5 15 Knave Of Diamonds 3 53.0 15 11.30 3.5 58 56 56 -2 16 Notorix 6 61.0 16 11.40 0.0 74 79 79 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Son Of Zeus | 70 | 81 | 70 | +11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kuznetsov | 74 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Sanctity | 61 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Coastal Path Line | 75 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Jaquar Cat | 56 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Globetonic | 70 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Path Of Choice | 70 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cruzador | 71 | 61 | 76 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lang's Power | 67 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Storm Chaser | 74 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Jean Paul | 62 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Joyous Jubilee (AUS) | 70 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Central City | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Drop Of Time | 73 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 15 | Knave Of Diamonds | 58 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 16 | Notorix | 74 | 68 | 79 | -11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points