Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Blazing Kiss
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mel's Princess       3    60.0    1    0.00     4.5   71    74           71    +0
2    Two Minds            3    52.5    2    0.60     4.5   62    64           64    +2
3    Blazing Kiss         3    57.5    3    1.80     4.5   72    72           72    +0
4    Rise                 5    60.0    4    2.60     0.0   68    85           85    +17
5    Reckless Love        4    56.5    5    3.10     2.0   61    74           74    +13
6    Chelsea Flower       6    60.5    6    3.60     0.0   72    85           85    +13
7    Bell Starbuster      4    53.5    7    3.75     2.0   54    67           67    +13
8    Iron Chef            4    54.0    8    4.45     2.0   59    67           67    +8
9    Luck Of The Iris     4    53.5    9    5.25     2.0   55    66           66    +11
10   Top Ten              4    54.0    10   6.75     2.0   56    67           67    +11
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mel's Princess 71 77 71 +6 4.5 -
2 Two Minds 62 52 64 -12 4.5 -
3 Blazing Kiss Line 72 75 72 +3 4.5
4 Rise 68 69 85 -16 0.0 -
5 Reckless Love 61 72 74 -2 2.0 -
6 Chelsea Flower 72 77 85 -8 0.0 -
7 Bell Starbuster 54 52 67 -15 2.0 -
8 Iron Chef 59 52 67 -15 2.0 -
9 Luck Of The Iris 55 47 66 -19 2.0 -
10 Top Ten 56 50 67 -17 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points