Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Pelargonium
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Heist 2 61.5 1 0.00 2.5 84 81 84 +0 2 Blush Of Dawn 8 53.0 2 2.20 0.0 62 69 69 +7 3 Pelargonium 3 61.0 3 2.80 3.5 78 78 78 +0 4 Petit Verdot 2 54.5 4 3.80 2.5 70 67 67 -3 5 Morgan La Fay 2 58.0 5 3.90 2.5 77 74 74 -3 6 Kingsmeads Krystl 3 58.0 6 4.50 3.5 72 72 72 +0 7 Triptoroyalty 2 52.0 7 5.70 2.5 68 62 62 -6 8 Ideal Gift 2 53.0 8 6.10 2.5 70 64 64 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Heist | 84 | 97 | 84 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Blush Of Dawn | 62 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pelargonium Line | 78 | 84 | 78 | +6 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Petit Verdot | 70 | 75 | 67 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Morgan La Fay | 77 | 98 | 74 | +24 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Kingsmeads Krystl | 72 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Triptoroyalty | 68 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ideal Gift | 70 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points