Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BET WITH TAB CLASS 4 (F & M) (For F & M. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 77)
Line Horse
Zippy Over
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Supreme Dream 3 55.5 1 0.00 4.5 77 64 64 -13 2 Peut Etre Moi 3 57.5 2 0.30 4.5 72 75 75 +3 3 Estimated 3 56.5 3 2.55 4.5 79 70 70 -9 4 Zippy Over 3 60.0 4 2.65 4.5 77 77 77 +0 5 Summer Night City 5 52.0 5 2.95 0.0 68 69 69 +1 6 Everglades 3 53.5 6 4.20 4.5 64 62 62 -2 7 Soft Touch 2 53.5 7 4.60 0.0 73 70 70 -3 8 Destined To Dance 3 52.0 8 5.35 4.5 55 57 57 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supreme Dream | 77 | 83 | 64 | +19 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Peut Etre Moi | 72 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Estimated | 79 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Zippy Over Line | 77 | 78 | 77 | +1 | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Summer Night City | 68 | 57 | 69 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Everglades | 64 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Soft Touch | 73 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Destined To Dance | 55 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points