Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Winter Pearl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Veldskoen (AUS) 4 58.5 1 0.00 1.5 75 69 69 -6 2 Wyag 2 59.0 2 0.75 0.0 82 77 77 -5 3 Superior Leader 4 52.0 3 1.50 1.5 62 59 59 -3 4 Winter Pearl 6 53.0 4 2.00 0.0 64 64 64 +0 5 Fort Red 4 60.0 5 2.05 1.5 78 75 75 -3 6 Paper Trail 4 54.0 6 3.30 1.5 66 61 61 -5 7 Poltergeist 3 58.5 7 3.70 2.5 75 68 68 -7 8 Charlie Malone 5 55.5 8 3.80 0.0 75 67 67 -8 9 Bonanza 3 54.5 9 4.55 2.5 67 59 59 -8 10 Rock On Tommy 3 52.5 10 6.05 2.5 63 55 55 -8 11 Radames 5 52.0 11 7.30 0.0 59 59 59 +0 12 Final Move 3 56.5 12 7.70 2.5 71 63 63 -8 99 Kebonalesedi 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veldskoen (AUS) | 75 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Wyag | 82 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Superior Leader | 62 | 64 | 59 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Winter Pearl Line | 64 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Fort Red | 78 | 66 | 75 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Paper Trail | 66 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Poltergeist | 75 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Charlie Malone | 75 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bonanza | 67 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Rock On Tommy | 63 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Radames | 59 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Final Move | 71 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Kebonalesedi | - | 67 | 71 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points