Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Hey Bill
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Riccardo             7    55.5    1    0.00     0.0   63    65           63    +0
2    Tin Cup              3    58.0    2    0.80     4.5   68    67           67    -1
3    Hey Bill             4    58.0    3    1.50     2.0   71    71           71    +0
4    Arverni King         5    56.5    4    3.80     0.0   74    69           69    -5
5    Bayview Express      5    61.0    5    4.20     0.0   74    78           78    +4
6    Arrow's Mark         6    54.0    6    5.40     0.0   60    62           62    +2
7    Twice As Perfect     3    57.5    7    8.40     4.5   76    60           66    -10
8    Tom Bombadil         5    57.5    8    8.65     0.0   67    69           69    +2
9    Grimaldi             4    61.5    9    10.05    2.0   75    73           73    -2
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Riccardo 63 68 63 +5 0.0 -
2 Tin Cup 68 74 67 +7 4.5 -
3 Hey Bill Line 71 71 71 ✓ Match 2.0
4 Arverni King 74 86 69 +17 0.0 -
5 Bayview Express 74 62 78 -16 0.0 -
6 Arrow's Mark 60 54 62 -8 0.0 -
7 Twice As Perfect 76 54 66 -12 4.5 -
8 Tom Bombadil 67 56 69 -13 0.0 -
9 Grimaldi 75 67 73 -6 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points