Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Luthuli
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Sanza 3 54.5 1 0.00 4.5 55 54 55 +0 2 Oyster King 5 60.0 2 0.20 0.0 66 74 74 +8 3 Luthuli 5 52.0 3 1.20 0.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Follow My Path 5 58.0 4 1.50 0.0 62 75 75 +13 5 Manz Knight 6 55.5 5 3.75 0.0 57 67 67 +10 6 Monsieur Chevelle 3 62.0 6 4.00 4.5 70 71 71 +1 7 Parker Getrix 4 55.0 7 4.50 2.0 56 61 61 +5 8 So Long Spring 7 54.0 8 5.70 0.0 54 62 62 +8 9 Skyfull 2 57.5 9 6.10 0.0 70 69 69 -1 10 Black Lightning 2 58.0 10 8.00 0.0 71 70 70 -1 11 Moon Valley 4 52.0 11 11.00 2.0 48 54 54 +6 99 Nuclear Force 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Sanza | 55 | 58 | 55 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Oyster King | 66 | 50 | 74 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Luthuli Line | 64 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Follow My Path | 62 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Manz Knight | 57 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Monsieur Chevelle | 70 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Parker Getrix | 56 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | So Long Spring | 54 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Skyfull | 70 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Black Lightning | 71 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Moon Valley | 48 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Nuclear Force | - | 61 | 74 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points