Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING WORK RIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Lovin' You Baby
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Esther 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 - 61 6 +6 2 Miss Tucker 3 60.0 2 2.25 3.5 - 61 61 +61 3 Lovin' You Baby 2 60.0 3 2.35 2.5 63 63 63 +0 4 Fly Better 3 60.0 4 2.40 3.5 56 61 61 +5 5 Peronzada 3 60.0 5 3.15 3.5 56 61 61 +5 6 Antonia Augusta 2 60.0 6 4.40 2.5 60 63 63 +3 7 Magenta 4 60.0 7 4.90 4.0 57 60 60 +3 8 Reggies Girl 3 60.0 8 5.65 3.5 66 61 61 -5 9 Tide Is High 3 60.0 9 6.15 3.5 63 61 61 -2 10 Spring Fever 2 60.0 10 7.40 2.5 49 63 63 +14 11 Just Forever 3 60.0 11 8.65 3.5 54 61 61 +7 12 Wonder Woman 6 60.0 12 9.90 0.0 45 68 68 +23 99 Painted Beauty 4 60.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Hundredfifthavenue 2 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 63 63 +0 99 Sundrop 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esther | - | 93 | 6 | +87 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Miss Tucker | - | 48 | 61 | -13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Lovin' You Baby Line | 63 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Fly Better | 56 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Peronzada | 56 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Antonia Augusta | 60 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Magenta | 57 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Reggies Girl | 66 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Tide Is High | 63 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Spring Fever | 49 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Just Forever | 54 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Wonder Woman | 45 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Painted Beauty | - | 30 | 60 | -30 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hundredfifthavenue | - | 57 | 63 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Sundrop | - | 48 | 68 | -20 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points