Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING TUESDAY 21 MARCH MR 78 DIVIDED HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Ramchandani Road
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Siberian Steel 3 57.0 1 0.00 3.5 77 65 77 +0 2 Silent War 3 58.5 2 1.00 3.5 75 68 68 -7 3 Ramchandani Road 5 57.0 3 1.40 0.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Blue Waters 2 60.0 4 2.75 2.5 83 73 73 -10 5 After Hours 7 52.0 5 3.25 0.0 60 62 62 +2 6 Vava Vegas 5 51.0 6 4.25 0.0 70 60 60 -10 7 Cian The Conqueror 5 60.0 7 5.75 0.0 83 78 78 -5 8 Time Together 3 59.0 8 7.00 3.5 81 69 71 -10 9 South Boy (ARG) 4 57.5 9 7.05 4.0 73 65 65 -8 10 Twice As Wild 6 52.5 10 8.25 0.0 63 63 63 +0 11 Rio's Kiss 3 52.0 11 8.30 3.5 56 55 55 -1 12 Dontshootthebarman 5 58.0 12 12.50 0.0 79 74 74 -5 99 Var Park 5 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siberian Steel | 77 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Silent War | 75 | 91 | 68 | +23 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Ramchandani Road Line | 72 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Blue Waters | 83 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | After Hours | 60 | 79 | 62 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Vava Vegas | 70 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Cian The Conqueror | 83 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Time Together | 81 | 81 | 71 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | South Boy (ARG) | 73 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Twice As Wild | 63 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Rio's Kiss | 56 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Dontshootthebarman | 79 | 93 | 74 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Var Park | - | 87 | 71 | +16 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points