Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON 031 314 1155 MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Caesura
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Family Favourite 3 57.5 1 0.00 4.5 76 64 76 +0 2 El Rey Viene 5 58.5 2 1.30 0.0 84 78 78 -6 3 Caesura 6 57.5 3 2.10 0.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Warrior Bling 5 60.0 4 2.60 0.0 78 80 80 +2 5 Rodriguez 6 56.5 5 2.90 0.0 71 73 73 +2 6 Pascali 3 52.5 6 3.15 4.5 72 56 62 -10 7 Time Taker 4 57.0 7 3.20 2.0 72 70 70 -2 8 Captain Who 4 59.5 8 4.00 2.0 77 74 74 -3 9 Flag Bearer 3 55.0 9 5.10 4.5 68 59 59 -9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Family Favourite | 76 | 69 | 76 | -7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | El Rey Viene | 84 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Caesura Line | 76 | 81 | 76 | +5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Warrior Bling | 78 | 87 | 80 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rodriguez | 71 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pascali | 72 | 68 | 62 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Time Taker | 72 | 55 | 70 | -15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Captain Who | 77 | 65 | 74 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Flag Bearer | 68 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points