Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Sea Goddess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Rise                 5    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   67    84           67    +0
2    Leopard Lady         4    54.0    2    0.20     2.0   58    71           71    +13
3    Sea Goddess          3    57.0    3    4.60     4.5   73    73           73    +0
4    Tinder Dry           3    61.0    4    5.00     4.5   72    80           80    +8
5    Iron Chef            4    53.5    5    6.90     2.0   57    70           70    +13
6    Luck Of The Iris     4    50.5    6    7.30     2.0   52    64           64    +12
7    Sea Eagle            3    60.5    7    10.70    4.5   71    79           79    +8
8    Saturn Moon          2    53.0    8    11.70    0.0   68    73           73    +5
9    Malcolm's Dream      6    57.0    9    13.60    0.0   64    81           81    +17
10   Sing For Winter      2    60.5    10   13.90    0.0   80    88           88    +8
11   Blazing Astute       3    60.0    11   14.90    4.5   70    78           78    +8
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Rise 67 69 67 +2 0.0 -
2 Leopard Lady 58 55 71 -16 2.0 -
3 Sea Goddess Line 73 80 73 +7 4.5
4 Tinder Dry 72 66 80 -14 4.5 -
5 Iron Chef 57 52 70 -18 2.0 -
6 Luck Of The Iris 52 47 64 -17 2.0 -
7 Sea Eagle 71 68 79 -11 4.5 -
8 Saturn Moon 68 57 73 -16 0.0 -
9 Malcolm's Dream 64 88 81 +7 0.0 -
10 Sing For Winter 80 72 88 -16 0.0 -
11 Blazing Astute 70 74 78 -4 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points