Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)

Line Horse
Smelting
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Smelting             7    55.0    1    0.00     0.0   66    66           66    +0
2    Magic Prince         2    60.0    2    1.20     2.5   70    71           71    +1
3    Edward Rye (ARG)     3    60.0    3    1.50     3.5   -     69           69    +69
4    Insightful           3    60.0    4    3.10     3.5   70    69           69    -1
5    Kilbrannan Sound     2    60.0    5    3.85     2.5   66    71           71    +5
6    Azucar               3    57.5    6    5.45     3.5   66    64           64    -2
7    Green Sceptre        2    57.5    7    5.75     2.5   -     66           66    +66
8    Rio Supremo          3    56.0    8    6.15     3.5   58    61           61    +3
9    Summer Lightning     3    60.0    9    9.35     3.5   -     69           69    +69
10   Dungeons             2    60.0    10   9.85     2.5   70    71           71    +1
11   Saka Gold            3    60.0    11   15.10    3.5   63    69           69    +6
12   What Say You         2    60.0    12   34.85    2.5   72    71           71    -1
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Smelting Line 66 52 66 -14 0.0
2 Magic Prince 70 66 71 -5 2.5 -
3 Edward Rye (ARG) - 87 69 +18 3.5 -
4 Insightful 70 60 69 -9 3.5 -
5 Kilbrannan Sound 66 67 71 -4 2.5 -
6 Azucar 66 53 64 -11 3.5 -
7 Green Sceptre - 50 66 -16 2.5 -
8 Rio Supremo 58 52 61 -9 3.5 -
9 Summer Lightning - 46 69 -23 3.5 -
10 Dungeons 70 73 71 +2 2.5 -
11 Saka Gold 63 60 69 -9 3.5 -
12 What Say You 72 72 71 +1 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points