Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: BOOK A TABLE CALL 0116811796 FM 79 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Lollapalooza
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Time Is Ticking 3 52.0 1 0.00 3.5 59 63 59 +0 2 Lollapalooza 3 57.5 2 0.75 3.5 74 74 74 +0 3 Berengaria 2 59.0 3 2.25 2.5 82 79 79 -3 4 Grecia 3 50.5 4 2.30 3.5 48 60 60 +12 5 Second Breath 2 58.5 5 3.30 2.5 81 78 78 -3 6 Tayooba 2 60.0 6 3.50 2.5 84 81 81 -3 7 Rockingthetimeaway 3 54.0 7 3.55 3.5 66 67 67 +1 8 United Express 2 53.5 8 4.80 2.5 71 68 68 -3 9 Mother Of Pearl 3 56.0 9 7.55 3.5 76 71 71 -5 10 Mandalay 3 52.0 10 7.65 3.5 61 63 63 +2 11 Bird In Space 2 55.0 11 9.90 2.5 74 71 71 -3 99 Silver Mensa 2 57.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Time Is Ticking | 59 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lollapalooza Line | 74 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Berengaria | 82 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Grecia | 48 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Second Breath | 81 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Tayooba | 84 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Rockingthetimeaway | 66 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | United Express | 71 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mother Of Pearl | 76 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Mandalay | 61 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Bird In Space | 74 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Silver Mensa | - | 77 | 76 | +1 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points