Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 25 MARCH FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
There She Goes
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Coldhardstare 2 58.0 1 0.00 2.5 78 68 78 +0 2 Mix The Magic 3 52.0 2 2.00 3.5 59 54 54 -5 3 No Time is Taken 3 54.5 3 2.05 3.5 69 59 59 -10 4 There She Goes 6 58.5 4 2.80 0.0 74 74 74 +0 5 Lil Miss Moneybags 3 59.5 5 4.10 3.5 81 69 71 -10 6 Treaty 2 52.0 6 7.10 2.5 63 56 56 -7 7 Meteoric 3 56.5 7 7.35 3.5 75 63 65 -10 8 Three Hearts 3 49.5 8 8.15 3.5 55 49 49 -6 9 Whatyouwaitingfor 2 60.0 9 9.00 2.5 82 72 72 -10 10 Aniara 2 58.5 10 19.75 2.5 79 69 69 -10 99 Permesso Avanti 3 57.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coldhardstare | 78 | 94 | 78 | +16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Mix The Magic | 59 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | No Time is Taken | 69 | 65 | 59 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | There She Goes Line | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Lil Miss Moneybags | 81 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Treaty | 63 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Meteoric | 75 | 76 | 65 | +11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Three Hearts | 55 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Whatyouwaitingfor | 82 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Aniara | 79 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Permesso Avanti | - | 70 | 64 | +6 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points