Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Crazy Blues
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Maria Corolina 4 59.5 1 0.00 1.5 77 76 77 +0 2 Crazy Blues 3 60.0 2 1.50 2.5 78 78 78 +0 3 Kabon Kapi 5 56.0 3 1.90 0.0 76 75 75 -1 4 Puff Of Smoke 3 54.0 4 3.50 2.5 66 64 64 -2 5 Conchita 4 52.5 5 3.65 1.5 59 63 63 +4 6 Aspoestertjie 5 55.5 6 4.05 0.0 75 72 72 -3 7 Sleek As Silk 2 56.0 7 4.45 0.0 79 72 72 -7 8 Umhlali 2 55.5 8 5.35 0.0 75 71 71 -4 99 Fabulous 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 99 Miss Gibson 3 52.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 59 59 +0 99 Princess Ilaria 5 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Corolina | 77 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Crazy Blues Line | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Kabon Kapi | 76 | 96 | 75 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Puff Of Smoke | 66 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Conchita | 59 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Aspoestertjie | 75 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sleek As Silk | 79 | 87 | 72 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Umhlali | 75 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fabulous | - | 76 | 77 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Miss Gibson | - | 56 | 59 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Princess Ilaria | - | 79 | 70 | +9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points