Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 69 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Cinnamon Blush
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Valerias Dream       3    61.5    1    0.00     3.5   77    72           77    +0
2    Shipholia            5    60.0    2    2.10     0.0   74    76           76    +2
3    Puff Of Smoke        3    58.5    3    2.40     3.5   66    66           66    +0
4    Cinnamon Blush       3    58.0    4    2.80     3.5   65    65           65    +0
5    Fort J'adore         3    59.0    5    4.00     3.5   72    67           67    -5
6    Bright Star          2    58.0    6    4.05     2.5   70    67           67    -3
7    Poppy Of Bayeux      3    57.5    7    4.10     3.5   64    64           64    +0
8    Belle Rouge          3    56.0    8    5.30     3.5   61    61           61    +0
9    Magna Mater          3    58.0    9    6.10     3.5   65    65           65    +0
10   Troubadix            3    51.0    10   6.40     3.5   52    51           51    -1
11   Top Honours          4    50.5    11   8.50     4.0   48    49           49    +1
12   Capriana             4    53.5    12   9.20     4.0   56    55           55    -1
13   Dunyaa (AUS)         4    61.0    13   26.90    4.0   71    70           70    -1
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Valerias Dream 77 77 77 ✓ Match 3.5 -
2 Shipholia 74 104 76 +28 0.0 -
3 Puff Of Smoke 66 51 66 -15 3.5 -
4 Cinnamon Blush Line 65 66 65 +1 3.5
5 Fort J'adore 72 67 67 ✓ Match 3.5 -
6 Bright Star 70 69 67 +2 2.5 -
7 Poppy Of Bayeux 64 57 64 -7 3.5 -
8 Belle Rouge 61 58 61 -3 3.5 -
9 Magna Mater 65 62 65 -3 3.5 -
10 Troubadix 52 49 51 -2 3.5 -
11 Top Honours 48 45 49 -4 4.0 -
12 Capriana 56 59 55 +4 4.0 -
13 Dunyaa (AUS) 71 71 70 +1 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points