Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Winter Waves
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Trade War            3    56.5    1    0.00     3.5   70    63           70    +0
2    Gimme A Rainbow      4    59.5    2    0.05     4.0   76    68           68    -8
3    Winter Waves         7    58.5    3    1.35     0.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Quest For The Best   4    58.5    4    1.85     4.0   74    66           66    -8
5    Slim Jannie          2    56.5    5    2.45     2.5   78    65           68    -10
6    Lord Wylie           7    61.0    6    4.65     0.0   79    79           79    +0
7    Happy Wanderer       5    50.5    7    5.65     0.0   56    58           58    +2
99   Cavalieri            5    58.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     73           73    +0
99   Roy's July Magic     4    52.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     54           54    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Trade War 70 70 70 ✓ Match 3.5 -
2 Gimme A Rainbow 76 74 68 +6 4.0 -
3 Winter Waves Line 74 77 74 +3 0.0
4 Quest For The Best 74 76 66 +10 4.0 -
5 Slim Jannie 78 95 68 +27 2.5 -
6 Lord Wylie 79 69 79 -10 0.0 -
7 Happy Wanderer 56 55 58 -3 0.0 -
99 Cavalieri - 73 73 ✓ Match 0.0 -
99 Roy's July Magic - 48 54 -6 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points