Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: 4RACING.TV MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Ledell's Echo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Al Qaasim 4 62.0 1 0.00 4.0 86 88 86 +0 2 Ledell's Echo 2 58.5 2 1.25 2.5 84 84 84 +0 3 European Summer 3 59.5 3 1.50 3.5 81 84 84 +3 4 Notorix 6 56.0 4 2.75 0.0 74 84 84 +10 5 Baubles And Beads 2 54.5 5 4.00 2.5 76 76 76 +0 6 Forest Spy 2 61.0 6 4.75 2.5 89 89 89 +0 7 Vegas Gold 3 57.5 7 4.85 3.5 77 80 80 +3 8 Brass Bell 8 57.0 8 7.60 0.0 76 86 86 +10 9 Delicasea 4 58.5 9 8.10 4.0 79 81 81 +2 10 Princess Deb's 3 60.5 10 9.60 3.5 83 86 86 +3 99 Light That Loose 4 62.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 89 89 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Qaasim | 86 | 91 | 86 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ledell's Echo Line | 84 | 88 | 84 | +4 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | European Summer | 81 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Notorix | 74 | 68 | 84 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Baubles And Beads | 76 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Forest Spy | 89 | 85 | 89 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Vegas Gold | 77 | 83 | 80 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Brass Bell | 76 | 55 | 86 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Delicasea | 79 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Princess Deb's | 83 | 80 | 86 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Light That Loose | - | 86 | 89 | -3 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points