Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Elusive Fire
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Platina Princess 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 52 6 +6 2 Spirit Princess 2 60.0 2 6.20 0.0 75 60 65 -10 3 Tsitsikamma Pearl 3 60.0 3 7.20 2.5 60 55 55 -5 4 Elusive Fire 4 57.5 4 8.90 1.0 53 53 53 +0 5 Southern Style 5 60.0 5 9.10 0.0 64 60 60 -4 6 Azucar 3 60.0 6 9.50 2.5 66 55 56 -10 7 Powers That Be 2 60.0 7 10.30 0.0 69 60 60 -9 8 United's Ransom 3 60.0 8 10.60 2.5 59 55 55 -4 9 Efficient Trader 2 57.5 9 12.75 0.0 65 55 55 -10 10 Dame Colleen 3 60.0 10 16.00 2.5 54 55 55 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platina Princess | - | 94 | 6 | +88 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Spirit Princess | 75 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Tsitsikamma Pearl | 60 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Elusive Fire Line | 53 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 1.0 | ||
| 5 | Southern Style | 64 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Azucar | 66 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Powers That Be | 69 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | United's Ransom | 59 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Efficient Trader | 65 | 57 | 55 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Dame Colleen | 54 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points