Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 13 APRIL MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mcebisi
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bob's Your Uncle 5 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 78 70 78 +0 2 Napoleon 3 57.5 2 0.20 2.5 67 59 59 -8 3 Mcebisi 4 57.5 3 0.30 1.0 67 67 67 +0 4 Black Lightning 2 55.5 4 3.25 0.0 68 62 62 -6 5 Treaty 2 52.0 5 3.30 0.0 61 54 54 -7 6 Eagle Alley 4 52.0 6 3.70 1.0 61 52 52 -9 7 Gregor Macgregor 4 51.0 7 3.75 1.0 59 50 50 -9 8 Follow My Path 5 55.0 8 5.00 0.0 62 59 59 -3 9 Lidl Miss Sunshine 3 52.5 9 5.10 2.5 57 49 49 -8 10 Parker Getrix 4 52.0 10 13.50 1.0 54 51 51 -3 11 Da Capo 3 52.0 11 18.50 2.5 59 48 49 -10 99 Ballon D'or 5 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bob's Your Uncle | 78 | 103 | 78 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Napoleon | 67 | 72 | 59 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mcebisi Line | 67 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Black Lightning | 68 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Treaty | 61 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Eagle Alley | 61 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gregor Macgregor | 59 | 63 | 50 | +13 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Follow My Path | 62 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lidl Miss Sunshine | 57 | 62 | 49 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Parker Getrix | 54 | 56 | 51 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Da Capo | 59 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ballon D'or | - | 61 | 68 | -7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points