Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For 2 yof R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Arabian Blue 2 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 - - - +0 2 Mind Freeze 2 60.0 2 6.25 2.5 - - - +0 3 Dream Team 2 60.0 3 7.25 2.5 - - - +0 4 Seconds Out 2 60.0 4 10.50 2.5 - - - +0 5 Ivy 2 60.0 5 21.00 2.5 - - - +0 99 Priceless Treasure 2 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arabian Blue | - | 81 | - | +81 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Mind Freeze | - | 72 | - | +72 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Dream Team | - | 56 | - | +56 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Seconds Out | - | 60 | - | +60 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ivy | - | 67 | - | +67 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Priceless Treasure | - | 70 | - | - | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points