Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: SIR THEOPHILUS ST GEORGE MR 92 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Runaway Song
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Noble City 3 55.5 1 0.00 2.0 88 77 88 +0 2 Ensuing 2 56.0 2 2.10 0.0 89 85 85 -4 3 Shampompo Shampizi 7 57.0 3 2.15 0.0 89 87 87 -2 4 Runaway Song 6 60.0 4 3.25 0.0 92 92 92 +0 5 Iron Will 4 52.0 5 3.30 1.0 78 73 73 -5 6 Go Man Go 5 57.0 6 4.70 0.0 86 84 84 -2 7 Oh So Squishy 3 59.0 7 6.50 2.0 90 84 84 -6 99 Dandolo 4 53.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noble City | 88 | 93 | 88 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ensuing | 89 | 87 | 85 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Shampompo Shampizi | 89 | 93 | 87 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Runaway Song Line | 92 | 98 | 92 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Iron Will | 78 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Go Man Go | 86 | 85 | 84 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Oh So Squishy | 90 | 68 | 84 | -16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dandolo | - | 86 | 74 | +12 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points