Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: WALTER FAIRRALL FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Palm Breeze
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Pelargonium          3    61.0    1    0.00     3.0   78    82           78    +0
2    Bonne Bouche         2    60.0    2    0.80     2.0   80    82           82    +2
3    Palm Breeze          3    57.0    3    2.70     3.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Alittlebitnaughty    4    56.0    4    3.10     3.5   68    71           71    +3
5    Conchita             4    52.5    5    3.15     3.5   59    64           64    +5
6    Imbewu               3    60.0    6    4.20     3.0   79    80           80    +1
7    Aspoestertjie        5    57.5    7    4.60     0.0   75    81           81    +6
8    Shanta's Pride       3    57.0    8    5.00     3.0   74    74           74    +0
9    Cinnamon Blush       3    54.5    9    5.50     3.0   65    69           69    +4
10   Aga Heat             3    60.5    10   6.20     3.0   80    81           81    +1
11   Hugsandhighfives     5    57.5    11   7.00     0.0   75    81           81    +6
12   Bright Star          2    54.0    12   8.40     2.0   68    70           70    +2
99   Rafeef's Choice      5    59.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     85           85    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Pelargonium 78 84 78 +6 3.0 -
2 Bonne Bouche 80 67 82 -15 2.0 -
3 Palm Breeze Line 74 66 74 -8 3.0
4 Alittlebitnaughty 68 62 71 -9 3.5 -
5 Conchita 59 56 64 -8 3.5 -
6 Imbewu 79 72 80 -8 3.0 -
7 Aspoestertjie 75 68 81 -13 0.0 -
8 Shanta's Pride 74 88 74 +14 3.0 -
9 Cinnamon Blush 65 66 69 -3 3.0 -
10 Aga Heat 80 74 81 -7 3.0 -
11 Hugsandhighfives 75 63 81 -18 0.0 -
12 Bright Star 68 69 70 -1 2.0 -
99 Rafeef's Choice - 71 85 -14 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points