Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 67 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Birdwatcher
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mission Rocks        3    59.0    1    0.00     2.0   70    62           70    +0
2    Birdwatcher          5    54.0    2    2.70     0.0   58    58           58    +0
3    Gimme A Lullaby      3    52.5    3    5.50     2.0   52    49           49    -3
4    Fields Of Green      2    59.5    4    7.60     0.0   71    67           67    -4
5    Predator's Feast     2    57.0    5    8.30     0.0   85    62           75    -10
5    Edvige               3    59.5    5    8.30     2.0   66    63           63    -3
7    Double Dream         3    60.0    7    9.30     2.0   67    64           64    -3
8    Royal Kitty          5    58.5    8    10.20    0.0   67    65           65    -2
9    Puff Of Smoke        3    59.5    9    33.50    2.0   66    63           63    -3
99   Shaken Not Stirred   4    54.5    99   0.00     1.0   -     55           55    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mission Rocks 70 74 70 +4 2.0 -
2 Birdwatcher Line 58 53 58 -5 0.0
3 Gimme A Lullaby 52 59 49 +10 2.0 -
4 Fields Of Green 71 69 67 +2 0.0 -
5 Predator's Feast 85 62 75 -13 0.0 -
5 Edvige 66 50 63 -13 2.0 -
7 Double Dream 67 71 64 +7 2.0 -
8 Royal Kitty 67 66 65 +1 0.0 -
9 Puff Of Smoke 66 51 63 -12 2.0 -
99 Shaken Not Stirred - 55 55 ✓ Match 1.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points