Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 68)
Line Horse
Paper Trail
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Slurricane 3 57.5 1 0.00 2.0 63 59 59 -4 2 Liketheclappers 3 57.5 2 2.25 2.0 63 62 62 -1 3 Paper Trail 4 58.0 3 2.30 1.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Captive Moon 6 55.0 4 3.05 0.0 58 60 60 +2 5 Air Of Royalty 3 53.5 5 3.15 2.0 55 53 53 -2 6 Raising Quinn 3 61.5 6 3.20 2.0 71 69 69 -2 7 Veronique 6 56.0 7 3.70 0.0 60 61 61 +1 8 Major Winter 5 52.0 8 9.95 0.0 47 52 52 +5 9 Rock On Tommy 3 56.0 9 11.20 2.0 60 56 56 -4 99 Radames 5 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slurricane | 63 | 76 | 59 | +17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Liketheclappers | 63 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Paper Trail Line | 64 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Captive Moon | 58 | 75 | 60 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Air Of Royalty | 55 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Raising Quinn | 71 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Veronique | 60 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Major Winter | 47 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rock On Tommy | 60 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Radames | - | 56 | 59 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points