Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 WORK RIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Captain Tik Tok
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 San Marzano 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 40 54 46 +6 2 Pembroke 3 60.0 2 5.00 3.0 65 54 55 -10 3 Captain Tik Tok 5 60.0 3 10.00 0.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Northern King 3 60.0 4 11.75 3.0 58 54 54 -4 5 Summer Lightning 3 60.0 5 12.25 3.0 - 54 54 +54 6 Crown Prince 3 60.0 6 13.00 3.0 - 54 54 +54 7 Lord Emmanuel (ZIM) 3 60.0 7 14.25 3.0 - 54 54 +54 8 Green Dynamite 3 60.0 8 17.75 3.0 - 54 54 +54 9 Shachath 2 54.5 9 20.00 2.0 - 45 45 +45 10 Double Joy 2 57.5 10 40.00 2.0 64 51 54 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Marzano | 40 | 53 | 46 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pembroke | 65 | 79 | 55 | +24 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Captain Tik Tok Line | 60 | 72 | 60 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Northern King | 58 | 57 | 54 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Summer Lightning | - | 46 | 54 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Crown Prince | - | 50 | 54 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lord Emmanuel (ZIM) | - | 20 | 54 | -34 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Green Dynamite | - | 42 | 54 | -12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Shachath | - | 42 | 45 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Double Joy | 64 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points