Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING SPOOK EXPRESS STAKES (Listed) (Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Red Maple
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Red Maple 3 50.0 1 0.00 4.5 80 80 80 +0 2 Kind Judy 4 54.0 2 0.25 1.5 81 94 94 +13 3 Apache Fighter 4 54.0 3 1.40 1.5 81 99 99 +18 4 Light Of The Moon 3 62.0 4 5.75 4.5 109 104 104 -5 5 Flying First Class 4 56.0 5 7.50 1.5 89 98 98 +9 6 Electric Surge 5 54.0 6 11.50 0.0 80 97 97 +17 7 Perfect Witness 3 60.0 7 12.00 4.5 99 100 100 +1 8 Opera Glass 4 56.0 8 13.75 1.5 85 98 98 +13 9 Maith An Cailin 2 50.0 9 15.00 0.0 70 89 89 +19 10 Quiet Rebellion 3 52.5 10 99.97 4.5 76 85 85 +9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Red Maple Line | 80 | 107 | 80 | +27 | 4.5 | ||
| 2 | Kind Judy | 81 | 73 | 94 | -21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Apache Fighter | 81 | 81 | 99 | -18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Light Of The Moon | 109 | 107 | 104 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Flying First Class | 89 | 82 | 98 | -16 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Electric Surge | 80 | 83 | 97 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Perfect Witness | 99 | 105 | 100 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Opera Glass | 85 | 81 | 98 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Maith An Cailin | 70 | 68 | 89 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Quiet Rebellion | 76 | 74 | 85 | -11 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points