Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MR 97 DIVIDED HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Otto Luyken
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Willow's Wish 4 57.0 1 0.00 1.5 91 92 91 +0 2 Meridius 2 55.5 2 0.50 0.0 95 97 97 +2 3 Otto Luyken 5 52.5 3 1.75 0.0 89 89 89 +0 4 Littlemarysunshine 2 54.5 4 2.35 0.0 93 92 92 -1 5 Tamarisk Tree 5 52.0 5 4.50 0.0 88 85 85 -3 6 Supreme Dance 4 58.0 6 7.40 1.5 93 94 94 +1 7 Vanderbilt 3 60.5 7 7.50 3.5 101 95 95 -6 8 Sir Michael 5 57.0 8 14.50 0.0 91 95 95 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Willow's Wish | 91 | 96 | 91 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Meridius | 95 | 115 | 97 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Otto Luyken Line | 89 | 116 | 89 | +27 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Littlemarysunshine | 93 | 95 | 92 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tamarisk Tree | 88 | 105 | 85 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Supreme Dance | 93 | 76 | 94 | -18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Vanderbilt | 101 | 103 | 95 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sir Michael | 91 | 81 | 95 | -14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points