Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 27 APRIL CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 75 and below)
Line Horse
In The Ether
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Laetitia's Angel 4 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 73 65 65 -8 2 In The Ether 6 56.0 2 2.50 0.0 64 64 64 +0 3 Great Times 3 57.5 3 2.70 3.0 64 61 61 -3 4 Vava Vegas 5 55.5 4 3.70 0.0 67 63 63 -4 5 Pendragon 5 57.5 5 3.80 0.0 71 67 67 -4 6 Nettleton 3 58.0 6 4.70 3.0 72 62 62 -10 7 A Time To Flower 2 58.0 7 5.10 2.0 75 64 65 -10 8 Magic Flower 2 53.5 8 7.35 2.0 57 55 55 -2 9 Bridge Of Spies 6 53.5 9 9.60 0.0 50 59 59 +9 99 Fly Isabella Fly 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 66 66 +0 99 Virginia Beach 2 58.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 64 64 +0 99 Rose Velvet 2 58.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laetitia's Angel | 73 | 77 | 65 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | In The Ether Line | 64 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Great Times | 64 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Vava Vegas | 67 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pendragon | 71 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Nettleton | 72 | 100 | 62 | +38 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | A Time To Flower | 75 | 52 | 65 | -13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Magic Flower | 57 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bridge Of Spies | 50 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fly Isabella Fly | - | 74 | 66 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Virginia Beach | - | 82 | 64 | +18 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rose Velvet | - | 73 | 64 | +9 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points