Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACING TODAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Welsh Starlet
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 A Month Of Sundays 4 56.5 1 0.00 2.0 57 67 63 +6 2 Ono No Komachi 3 56.5 2 4.25 5.0 70 63 63 -7 3 Welsh Starlet 3 56.5 3 9.00 5.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Cheap Thrills 4 56.5 4 9.25 2.0 51 67 67 +16 5 Accumulate 4 56.5 5 15.50 2.0 55 67 67 +12 6 Take A Mulligan 4 60.0 6 34.75 2.0 54 74 74 +20 7 Master Wizard 3 60.0 7 99.99 5.0 60 68 68 +8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Month Of Sundays | 57 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ono No Komachi | 70 | 66 | 63 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Welsh Starlet Line | 61 | 63 | 61 | +2 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Cheap Thrills | 51 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Accumulate | 55 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Take A Mulligan | 54 | 50 | 74 | -24 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Master Wizard | 60 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points