Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For 2 yof R100 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Joy And Peace 4 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 - - - +0 2 Amazing Colours 4 60.0 2 1.25 3.5 - - - +0 3 Jambo Sana 2 60.0 3 2.50 2.0 - - - +0 4 Fire Glow 4 60.0 4 3.75 3.5 - - - +0 5 Winning Grace 2 60.0 5 8.00 2.0 - - - +0 6 First Minister 2 60.0 6 8.50 2.0 - - - +0 7 Butterfly Queen 2 60.0 7 17.75 2.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joy And Peace | - | 110 | - | +110 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Amazing Colours | - | 59 | - | +59 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Jambo Sana | - | 74 | - | +74 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fire Glow | - | 67 | - | +67 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Winning Grace | - | 62 | - | +62 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | First Minister | - | 57 | - | +57 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Butterfly Queen | - | 63 | - | +63 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points