Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Tin Cup
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Rock Fall            2    57.5    1    0.00     0.0   79    75           79    +0
2    Zakho                3    59.5    2    0.20     4.5   83    70           73    -10
3    Arverni King         5    55.0    3    0.35     0.0   74    76           76    +2
4    Tin Cup              3    56.5    4    0.85     4.5   69    69           69    +0
5    Papa C               6    57.0    5    2.05     0.0   70    78           78    +8
6    Cyber Time           3    59.5    6    2.25     4.5   75    74           74    -1
7    Tom Bombadil         5    56.0    7    4.75     0.0   67    72           72    +5
8    Rise                 5    58.5    8    7.15     0.0   72    77           77    +5
9    Twice As Perfect     3    53.5    9    7.95     4.5   71    58           61    -10
10   Eventidor            6    58.5    10   8.45     0.0   76    77           77    +1
11   Afropolitan          6    56.5    11   11.55    0.0   69    73           73    +4
12   Question Master      2    54.5    12   12.45    0.0   73    69           69    -4
99   Catch The Tune       6    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     78           78    +0
99   Tommy The Kidd       4    52.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     61           61    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Rock Fall 79 80 79 +1 0.0 -
2 Zakho 83 87 73 +14 4.5 -
3 Arverni King 74 86 76 +10 0.0 -
4 Tin Cup Line 69 74 69 +5 4.5
5 Papa C 70 73 78 -5 0.0 -
6 Cyber Time 75 81 74 +7 4.5 -
7 Tom Bombadil 67 56 72 -16 0.0 -
8 Rise 72 69 77 -8 0.0 -
9 Twice As Perfect 71 54 61 -7 4.5 -
10 Eventidor 76 89 77 +12 0.0 -
11 Afropolitan 69 84 73 +11 0.0 -
12 Question Master 73 70 69 +1 0.0 -
99 Catch The Tune - 70 78 -8 0.0 -
99 Tommy The Kidd - 53 61 -8 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points